Research Publications Archive

Alternative Credit Opportunities in Asia

Asia has a structural and cyclical need for alternative credit providers; given where Asia is in the credit cycle, special situations and direct lending strategies should offer attractive risk-adjusted returns Returns for traditional Asian fixed income and credit are unattractive today. However, opportunities remain in the less liquid, underserved, and complex spheres of corporate lending…

The Burden of European Debt

Many factors contributed to the global financial crisis, but an excessively high level of indebtedness built up over many years was a crucial one. Although the crisis first blew up in the US housing and mortgage markets, the receding tide of liquidity revealed many other exposed debtors, especially within the Eurozone. In the aftermath of…

What’s Behind the Recent Rally in Chinese Equities?

Chinese equities have captured headlines recently, with trading volumes surging in Hong Kong and the MSCI China Index (which tracks the performance of Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong) rising 14% over four trading days (April 8–13). The catalyst was a decision in late March by mainland Chinese regulators to allow domestic mutual funds to…

India: Can the Bull Market Continue?

Over the past two years, India has come full circle, moving from a member of the so-called Fragile Five economies with poor macro fundamentals to one of the few emerging markets with a positive macro story. India was among the best-performing equity markets in 2014, returning 24% in US$ terms, compared to -1.8% for emerging…

Annual Analysis of Independent Schools Investment Pool Returns: Fiscal Year 2014

This year we’ve added new exhibits on asset class–level performance and outperformance versus policy benchmarks. We’ve also added exhibits and commentary that explore drivers of investment performance. As with past years, this report also reviews investment returns, asset allocation trends, spending rules, investment manager structures and implementation, and other topics pertinent to endowment managers at…

Has the Rapid Rise in the US Dollar Changed Our View on Currency Hedging for US$ Investors?

We continue to believe US$-based investors should hedge a portion of non-US$ currency exposure, particularly that associated with tactical positions in non-US$ assets.* Strategic hedging to mitigate currency volatility may also be appropriate for investors with large allocations (e.g., 20%–25% or higher) to foreign currencies.** We maintain this recommendation even as we regard the US…

Everything Old Is New Again: Portable Alpha in Theory and Practice

Executive Summary In an environment of low equity and bond returns, investors may again be looking to portable alpha as a possible solution. However, portable alpha is complex and comes with many risks, not the least of which is identifying the sources of alpha, as well as ensuring the liquidity of the alpha sources, monitoring…

Annual Analysis of Cultural and Environmental Investment Pool Returns: Fiscal Year 2014

This year we’ve added new exhibits on asset class–level performance and outperformance versus policy benchmarks. We’ve also added exhibits and commentary that explore drivers of investment performance. As with past years, this report also reviews investment returns, asset allocation trends, spending rules, investment manager structures and implementation, and other topics pertinent to endowment managers at…