Research Publications Archive

European Valuations

Our dividend discount model indicates that U.K. equities are now fairly valued, while continental European equities are slightly undervalued.

European High-Yield Market

Economic integration, the trend of deregulation and privatization, surging M&A activity, and the increasing acceptance of leverage in corporate financing have provided the catalyst for an expanding European high-yield market.

Global Correlations

Correlations between regions are high, but not extraordinarily so or unprecedented. What’s more, correlation methodology has a tremendous effect on the interpretation of actual correlation of returns. The starting point and frequency of the data (month, week, or day) can skew the statistics one way or the other and currency denomination has a significant impact….

Inside the U.S. Equity Market

The persistent disparity among valuations across different sectors indicates the likelihood that high P/E stocks will continue to disappoint; while overlooked issues at the other end of the valuation spectrum should outperform. The proportion of lofty P/E stocks within the overall market is gradually shrinking. Despite value’s trouncing of growth last year, we suspect this…

Behavioral Finance

An evaluation of common mistakes made by investment committees including overrating the importance of recent information, oversimplification of complex issues, extrapolation of past results into the future, and diffusion of responsibility.

Enhanced U.S. Equity Indexing

Investors index to achieve portfolio diversification at the lowest possible cost, but abandon any chance of outperforming the chosen benchmark. In contrast, active investors pay higher fees and incur the risk of underperforming the benchmark because they believe their managers will add value over time. With lower fees than active management, close benchmark tracking, but…