VantagePoint Series

VantagePoint: Artificial Intelligence Investing After the First Wave

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AI investing is moving into a more selective phase: capabilities and adoption continue to accelerate, fundamentals are starting to improve, and the obvious first-wave winners in hyperscalers and chips have already been widely recognized by markets. From here, the key investment questions are which bottlenecks will endure, whether revenue and earnings can outpace the capital intensity required to lead, and where lasting value can survive as AI becomes cheaper, more capable, and more ubiquitous.

VantagePoint: Strategic Portfolio Construction in a Changing World

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In today’s dynamic environment, strategic thinking and flexibility are essential. This edition of VantagePoint revisits the core principles of best-in-class investment strategies, exploring how investors can allow wealth to compound by remaining disciplined, diversified, and focused on long-term opportunities while adapting to change.

VantagePoint: Avoiding Five Key Investment Pitfalls

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The start of the year is an ideal time to review investment practices and procedures to ensure you are set up for success. In this edition of VantagePoint, we outline the following five key investment pitfalls that can steer investors off course and offer guidance on how to avoid them: 1) Taking too little risk; 2) Firing excellent managers after a bout of underperformance; 3) Sizing individual positions too large; 4) Misunderstanding liquidity risk; and 5) Failing to exercise strong governance.

VantagePoint: As the Narratives Turn

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In this edition of VantagePoint, we find that consumers, corporations, and the banking sector remain in good shape, and while US/global economic growth is likely to slow in the second half of 2024 relative to the first, we expect it will remain positive. Although market concentration risk is elevated, given its focus on highly profitable AI-related tech stocks, we would seek to be measured about diversifying such risks.

VantagePoint: Building Resilient Public Equity Portfolios

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Building outperforming portfolios in long-only equities is hard work but worth the effort. Engaging in deep research to identify firms with a repeatable competitive edge and strong organization that can stand the test of time is far more relevant than analyzing short-term performance. Selecting the right managers is only the first step. Constructing portfolios requires careful consideration of manager and market dynamics to adjust for shifting factor exposures and avoid unintended bets for which investors are unlikely to be compensated.