Market Matters: February 28, 2023
Risk assets broadly declined in February, reversing some of the rally from the last several months.
Risk assets broadly declined in February, reversing some of the rally from the last several months.
In this edition of VantagePoint, we explore the improvement in economic conditions, prospects for recession in the United States and Europe, the degree to which markets are pricing in reasonable economic and earnings prospects, and sensible asset allocation considerations.
This publication presents manager performance for 36 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
Calendar year 2022 witnessed multi-decade record inflation and central banks responded with rapidly tightening monetary policy. Rising rates saw the correlation between bonds and equities turn positive, contributing to large declines across most asset classes. Funds flows diverted away from growth and momentum strategies, and yield curves flattened with the ten-year/two-year yield curve becoming inverted in most developed markets, signaling economic uncertainty ahead.
Risk assets broadly advanced in January, continuing their fourth quarter rally after a difficult 2022.
Risk assets closed a tumultuous year on a positive note in fourth quarter.
We expect energy equities will be resilient due to underinvestment in recent years. So, we don’t think investors should underweight this economic sector in the near term despite some long-term headwinds from decarbonization efforts. In real estate, we think offices may finally offer some attractive opportunities for the discerning investor.
Asset markets broadly advanced in November. The global equity rally continued as surging Chinese shares helped broader emerging markets outpace developed peers.
This publication presents manager performance for 37 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
Risk assets rallied in October. Global equities recovered some of their steep third quarter losses, as developed markets topped emerging counterparts.