Real Assets

Market Matters: June 30, 2022

Investor sentiment soured in second quarter, leading to steep declines across nearly all asset classes. Global equities foundered as developed and emerging stocks alike fell into bear markets. Rising interest rates and deteriorating global economic growth prospects meant growth stocks trailed value, while large caps edged small caps. Aggressive monetary tightening and high inflation pressured government bond performance, while corporates lagged on rising credit spreads. Real assets also declined, with energy commodities being the lone exception among major asset classes as oil prices continued climbing. Against this backdrop, the US dollar appreciated to a 20-year high, euro performance was mixed, and UK sterling mostly weakened.

Market Matters: May 31, 2022

Risk assets continued their bumpy ride in May as investors attempted to discount a shifting economic narrative. Still, global equities posted only minor declines in local currency terms despite a meaningful increase in volatility. Value topped growth for the fourth time this year, while large caps outperformed small caps. Investment-grade bonds advanced as US Treasury yields mostly fell, whereas European government bond yields continued climbing across maturities. Commodities rose, driven by higher energy prices, while other real assets were mixed. The US dollar and UK sterling weakened, while the euro broadly gained on expectations of tighter monetary policy.

War in Ukraine Dents European Growth Prospects

The ongoing war in Ukraine has exerted a material impact on both global economies and markets, primarily via a steep increase in commodity prices, especially energy. Europe has been particularly affected due to its geographical proximity and the resultant dependence of many of its nations on Russian fossil fuels. This chart book reviews the hit to European growth associated with the war in Ukraine.

VantagePoint: Resilience in a Time of Uncertainty

Global inflation has been higher and more persistent than most economists anticipated. In this edition of VantagePoint, we evaluate current inflationary and deflationary crosscurrents and the implications for investors. We continue to believe that predicting the future path of inflation is difficult to do well and that the best protection is a well-constructed diversified portfolio designed to meet the asset owner’s risk tolerance, portfolio objectives, and spending needs.

Higher Rates Are a Headwind, but US Housing Rests on Solid Foundations

The US housing market has been on a tear in recent years, supported by low interest rates, favorable supply/demand dynamics, and a recent boost from the pandemic-related demand for more space. This publication provides an update on some of the macro forces supporting housing and describes different asset classes that offer exposure to US housing.