Market Matters: March 31, 2023
Risk assets continued to rebound in first quarter, led by global equities, which have gained 15% since their recent trough last October.
Currency
Decades of Data: United Kingdom 1900–2022
The 2022 UK edition of our annual report on the history of financial markets provides context for the range of returns investors can expect from equities, bonds, and cash; reveals the importance of various components of equity returns; examines the evidence for equity mean reversion; and reviews the relationship between initial valuations and subsequent returns for equities and bonds.
Has Our Broad Investment Outlook Changed Considering the Recent Bank Collapses?
No. We continue to think investors should tightly manage risk by keeping equity allocations and bond duration in line with broad policy targets and resist the temptation to time the market.
Decades of Data: United States 1900–2022
The 2022 US edition of our annual report on the history of financial markets provides context for the range of returns investors can expect from equities, bonds, and cash; reveals the importance of various components of equity returns; examines the evidence for equity mean reversion; and reviews the relationship between initial valuations and subsequent returns for equities and bonds.
2023 New Zealand Outlook: The Inflation Battle Continues
New Zealand markets had difficulty gaining ground in 2022, although they still demonstrated greater resilience than many of their global counterparts. For 2023, the weakening outlook for domestic growth and the prospect of more restrictive interest rates remain key risks to New Zealand market performance.
Market Matters: February 28, 2023
Risk assets broadly declined in February, reversing some of the rally from the last several months.
Is the Crypto Winter Over?
No, it’s not over, but the worst of it is past us. After the liquid token market’s remarkable January, some called an early spring.
Review of Market Performance: Calendar Year 2022
Calendar year 2022 witnessed multi-decade record inflation and central banks responded with rapidly tightening monetary policy. Rising rates saw the correlation between bonds and equities turn positive, contributing to large declines across most asset classes. Funds flows diverted away from growth and momentum strategies, and yield curves flattened with the ten-year/two-year yield curve becoming inverted in most developed markets, signaling economic uncertainty ahead.
Market Matters: January 31, 2023
Risk assets broadly advanced in January, continuing their fourth quarter rally after a difficult 2022.
Market Matters: December 31, 2022
Risk assets closed a tumultuous year on a positive note in fourth quarter.