Market Matters: May 2017
Capital markets performance was generally positive in May, with France’s market-friendly presidential election outcome and the stronger-than-anticipated earnings results observed across regions serving as important drivers.
Capital markets performance was generally positive in May, with France’s market-friendly presidential election outcome and the stronger-than-anticipated earnings results observed across regions serving as important drivers.
Geopolitical developments were important drivers of capital markets performance in April, with the French presidential election and growing tensions with North Korea weighing on market sentiment for most of the month until easing somewhat in the final week.
First quarter saw a continuation of the equity rally. Global equities were led by emerging markets; developed markets counterparts underperformed despite both UK and US stocks touching all-time highs during the quarter.
February saw the reflation trade continue for equities but not for other asset classes. In recent weeks, equity and bond markets have seemed of two minds with respect to the outlook.
The strong reflation trends in markets that were accelerated by the US election outcome were more muted in January as investors digested the change in administrations and some reversals were observed.
Fourth quarter continued the reflationary trends that began driving global financial markets in July as the outcomes of the US election and OPEC summit in November and the US Federal Reserve meeting in December reinforced the reflation theme.
The US elections and the OPEC summit were major factors driving global market performance in November, with the outcomes of both reinforcing the reflation trade that began over the summer.
Global markets wobbled in October as most asset classes declined. On a broad basis, both equities and bonds were negative, with global government bonds underperforming equities as bond yields rose sharply.
Third quarter turned out to be a breeze for global risk assets. Concerns sparked by the UK’s historic “Brexit” vote heading into the quarter were allayed by central bankers’ decisive statements and actions in the days and weeks following the referendum, which reassured markets that monetary policy would remain highly accommodative, and by the new UK government’s indications that it would not rush into exit negotiations.
Markets were mostly subdued in August as some measures of equity market volatility dropped against a backdrop of seasonally depressed trading volumes and supportive monetary policy announcements.