Hedge Funds

Macro Hedge Funds Should Benefit from Improved Opportunities

Rising inflation and moderating growth are generally associated with a higher risk premium as investors start to price in a potential shift in market regime. In the past, global macro managers have generally benefited from better alpha opportunities that arise from volatility. With this backdrop, we expect macro hedge fund performance to be better than average next year.

Review of Market Performance: Fiscal Year 2021

Fiscal year 2021 saw a continuation of the strong rebound in risk assets, which had commenced in second quarter 2020. This was facilitated initially by positive news from COVID-19 vaccine trials, and then ultimately by their gradual rollout, which established a path back toward economic normality. Meanwhile, both fiscal and monetary policy remained at extremely accommodative settings.

Hedge Fund Update: First Quarter 2021

The previous 12 months have been very positive for fundamental investors, as these managers have been able to identify the winners and losers as a result of lockdowns. We continue to believe hedge fund managers will be able to take advantage of the volatility presented by a choppy recovery, policy change by a newly elected US government, and permanent disruption within sectors as a result of COVID-19.