Outlook 2022: Flying at a Lower Altitude
A compilation of our investment views for 2022.
A compilation of our investment views for 2022.
Rising inflation and moderating growth are generally associated with a higher risk premium as investors start to price in a potential shift in market regime. In the past, global macro managers have generally benefited from better alpha opportunities that arise from volatility. With this backdrop, we expect macro hedge fund performance to be better than average next year.
This publication presents manager performance for 37 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
Global capital markets were volatile during third quarter 2021. In September, equity markets gave back most of the gains made earlier in the quarter. Markets are reacting to concerning economic and inflation data, geopolitical risks, and potential central bank tightening. Core hedge fund strategies were mixed but relatively flat during the third quarter.
Fiscal year 2021 saw a continuation of the strong rebound in risk assets, which had commenced in second quarter 2020. This was facilitated initially by positive news from COVID-19 vaccine trials, and then ultimately by their gradual rollout, which established a path back toward economic normality. Meanwhile, both fiscal and monetary policy remained at extremely accommodative settings.
In this quarter’s edition, we will explore the challenges and opportunities facing investors in US-listed Chinese equity as China regulators continue to crackdown on large Chinese technology companies.
This publication presents manager performance for 37 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
The previous 12 months have been very positive for fundamental investors, as these managers have been able to identify the winners and losers as a result of lockdowns. We continue to believe hedge fund managers will be able to take advantage of the volatility presented by a choppy recovery, policy change by a newly elected US government, and permanent disruption within sectors as a result of COVID-19.
This publication presents manager performance for 37 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
No, we do not believe that is generally the case. While the recent wild ride of a few companies’ share prices was novel in that it was coordinated by retail investors on the social media platform Reddit, the short coverings that contributed to the price spikes were all too familiar to long-time investors.