Market Implications of COVID-19

Decades of Data: United States 1900–2020

The 2020 US edition of our annual report on the history of financial markets provides context for the range of returns investors can expect from equities, bonds, and cash; reveals the importance of various components of equity returns; examines the evidence for equity mean reversion; and reviews the relationship between initial valuations and subsequent returns for equities and bonds. It also analyzes the historic economic declines and sharp asset price movements that resulted from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

Market Matters: February 2021

Risk assets rallied in February as global vaccination efforts progressed and economic momentum strengthened. However, the rally stalled in the latter half of the month amid concerns about a resurgence in inflation. Value stocks trounced growth. Small caps outperformed large caps for the sixth consecutive month. Sovereign bond prices declined amid sharply rising yields, while high-yield bonds advanced and bested investment-grade equivalents. Real assets mostly gained; oil prices reached their highest levels in more than a year, but gold declined at its fastest monthly rate since 2016. Among major currencies, UK sterling advanced, whereas the US dollar and euro were mixed.