Research Publications Archive

From Dollar Dominance to Divergence

Since December 2015, currency markets have become increasingly divergent, with the US dollar simultaneously weakening and strengthening against different currencies. To provide investors with a better understanding of how their base currency is performing, this chart book presents analysis of historical currency momentum, valuation, and fundamentals in five key base currencies: US dollar (USD), British pound (GBP), euro (EUR), Swiss franc (CHF), and Japanese yen (JPY).

What’s Driving the Recent Rebound in Oil Prices?

Oil prices have benefited from a number of developments in recent weeks, including fresh data indicating declining production and healthy consumption, weakness in the US dollar, and news of supply-cap discussions between select OPEC members and Russia.

Annual Analysis of Cultural and Environmental Institution Investment Pool Returns: Fiscal Year 2015

This report reviews portfolio returns, asset allocation, investment manager structures, and net flow data for 55 cultural and environmental institutions. Analysis and exhibits include asset class returns, performance attribution, risk analytics, policy portfolio benchmarking, the impact of private investment programs on portfolio liquidity, the use of external managers by asset class, and net flow rates.

Strategic Currency Hedging Policy: A New Framework

Currency risk is a fact of life for investors, yet few investors have given appropriate thought to setting a strategic hedging policy. The typical approaches have material drawbacks, being either too simplistic or too complex. The new framework we introduce in this paper achieves an attractive balance by seamlessly integrating qualitative portfolio considerations driven by relevant asset class characteristics with a highly simplified yet robust method of incorporating individual currency characteristics. The framework is applicable to a broad set of investors, accommodates lack of precision in measuring currency exposures, separates the question of implementation from policy setting, and helps clearly distinguish between strategic exposures and tactical overlays.