Research Publications Archive

Asset Allocation in a Bear Market

This paper speculates that while some of the excess from the equity bubble years has been worked off, the secular bottom will probably not arrive until valuations improve and despair reaches levels proportional to the preceding bull market euphoria.

Benchmarking

This report suggests preconditions to the selection of appropriate benchmarks and the flaws inherent even in careful selection. Discrete sections for public market investments, marketable alternatives, private equity, and real estate are included.

Of Bubbles and Bears

If the unwinding of the recent bubble conforms to the typical pattern of past post-speculative periods, investors should be prepared for a long, hard slog.

The Euro Appreciates

The euro’s appreciation against the U.S. dollar holds symbolic importance for Europeans, but negative consequences for their economy. Until domestic demand in the region improves, the strengthening euro could undermine the Continent’s economic growth, corporate profits, and equity prices.

Implications of a Falling US$

The U.S. dollar continues to slide against other major currencies, prompting concerns about how institutional investors can hedge against the possibility of a more vicious drop in the greenback.

Why Are U.K. Equities Outperforming?

Historically U.K. equities have outperformed European equities during periods of market weakness due to the U.K. market’s weighting in classic defensive groups. However, the outperformance this go-round is due to the financial sector. The U.K. banking subsector was boosted by acquisition activity and investors’ preference for U.K. banks’ low volatility, high dividend yields, and strong…

Emerging Markets Debt

An overview of emerging debt including correlations with other asset classes, risks (volatility, default, interest rate, currency), investment vehicles, and benchmarks. Exhibits cover market capitalization, credit quality, country debt ratios, Brady bond yields, benchmark returns, and fees and performance data on representative emerging debt managers.