Is the Projected Path of Fed Easing Too Aggressive?
Yes. Current market expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower its policy rate by roughly 150 basis points by the end of next year are overly optimistic.
Yes. Current market expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower its policy rate by roughly 150 basis points by the end of next year are overly optimistic.
Once perceived as a US ally, India has recently been thrust into geopolitical crosshairs. Given the increased macro uncertainty, we would not overweight India at this time, particularly as equity valuations remain elevated despite the recent underperformance. Trade policies remain in flux, and there are measures that India can take to counter the near-term impact of tariffs. However, investors should monitor negotiations around India’s Russian oil imports, as these could have wider implications for the economy and market, especially the rupee.
Yes. In our view, developed markets ex US small-cap stocks are well positioned to continue outpacing their larger-cap counterparts due to three key factors: reduced sensitivity to global tariff changes, attractive relative valuations, and improving international economic fundamentals.
Equities advanced as peak tariff uncertainty appeared to wane, fixed income performance diverged among major regions, the US dollar broadly depreciated, and real assets mostly advanced.
Description: In today’s environment, building resilient portfolios is essential. Inflation risks are elevated and macroeconomic uncertainty is high. Allocating capital to hedge macro risks may reduce returns, so investors should carefully consider risk tolerance, objectives, and spending needs when assessing their allocations.
Global equities advanced as lingering uncertainty over US trade policy eased.
US tariffs added to market volatility in the fiscal year ended June 30, 2025. Nevertheless, most risk assets ended the year higher, supported by strong earnings ahead of tariff uncertainty and the prospect of continued central bank policy easing to support growth.
Yes. We believe Latin America will benefit from today’s shifting market dynamics, supporting its outperformance over broader emerging markets stocks.
As the second piece in a three-part series, we examine how AI may support productivity growth and how capital is being deployed to realize its potential.
In this piece, we explore AI’s transformative potential for asset allocation opportunities and risks, as well as key implementation considerations and challenges.