Research Publications Archive

CA Perspectives: Spring 2014

In this issue David Thurston and Andy Martin review some of the common behavioral traps that long-term investors with diversified portfolios fall into during market rallies like the one we have experienced in recent years in “Just Another FOMO Market” Kyle Johnson discusses how to think about impact investing within your overall portfolio strategy in…

Escalator Up, Elevator Down? Recent RMB Weakness

China’s currency recently experienced its sharpest decline since it unpegged from the US dollar nearly nine years ago. China wants a more volatile exchange rate to introduce two-way risk in the currency market, meaning a continued steady rise in its currency is not a foregone conclusion. To help offset slowing investment growth, Chinese authorities may…

Municipal Bonds Find Their Footing in the New Year

We maintain our neutral positioning for municipal bonds As prices fell and yields rose in the latter half of 2013, investors pulled money from muni bond funds, forcing managers to sell bonds in an increasingly illiquid market. Conditions reversed around year-end into 2014 as Treasury yields have fallen, money began flowing in, and issuance plummeted….

Annual Analysis of Independent School Investment Pool Returns: 2012-13

This year we highlight unfunded commitment levels to private investments and estimated annual liquidity requirements for the portfolio. We also explore policy portfolio benchmarking and spending policy practices, including additions and withdrawals to the portfolio and support of operations. As with past years, this report also reviews investment management structures, the frequency of external managers…

Annual Analysis of Museum and Library Investment Pool Returns: 2012-13

This year we highlight unfunded commitment levels to private investments and estimated annual liquidity requirements for the portfolio. We also explore policy portfolio benchmarking and spending policy practices, including additions and withdrawals to the portfolio and support of operations. As with past years, this report also reviews investment management structures, the frequency of external managers…

Hallmarks of Successful Active Equity Managers

Executive Summary The debate about “active versus passive” investment management has received considerable attention. The average active equity manager regularly struggles to outpace the market; however, some managers perform better than average and studies generally conclude that some managers do exhibit skill. As a result, we attempt to answer a different question: how can investors…

Reconsidering Bond Benchmarks

While cap-weighted benchmarks for bond portfolios remain the norm, indexes based on other criteria are increasingly available. Benchmarks are an essential tool for investors to monitor and analyze overall portfolio performance, as well as the success of investment strategies and managers. Comparing manager performance against benchmarks also can help inform decisions about whether to use…

Emerging Markets – Navigating Through Rough Waters

EM equity valuations are the key driver of returns over the long term. The benefit from valuation mean reversion should be substantial, as EM equities trade at a 35% discount to DM equities and a 45% discount to U.S. equities, compared to our assumed fair value discount of 10%. We expect EM equities to remain…

Multi-Manager Funds: A Toolkit for Evaluation

Institutional investors considering an allocation to a hedge fund are typically reasonably equipped to evaluate its suitability for their portfolios. However, traditional yardsticks are inadequate for evaluating multi-manager (MM) hedge funds. Due to the uniqueness of their organizational structure and fund terms, MM funds often exhibit unusual yet ultimately explainable behavior. The intention of this…