Is the United States Likely to Enter a Period of Stagflation?
No. While inflation could continue to run hotter than central banks expect, the US employment situation is improving, and economic growth is unlikely to stagnate.
Research Publications Archive
Has the Approaching Debt Default by Chinese Property Developer Evergrande Created Opportunities for Investors?
Yes. In recent weeks, several Chinese property developers have defaulted, and spreads on Chinese high-yield bonds have widened roughly 600 basis points (bps), taking their year-to-date loss to 18%.
Investing for Climate Justice: An Intersectional Approach
Climate change and social inequality are two material and systemic risks facing the global economy and investment portfolios over the coming decades. In this paper, we demonstrate the relationship between climate change and social justice, highlight how investors can implement an intersectional approach to climate justice in their portfolios, and outline three steps investors should consider to help ensure our transition to a low-carbon economy is inclusive and just.
Comparative Asset Allocation and Total Return: UK Foundations and Endowments
Our biannual report summarizes asset allocation and total investment performance for 26 of Cambridge Associates’ UK foundation and endowment clients.
Triage Tax Planning in the US: Adapting to an Uncertain Tax Bill
The Build Back Better Act recently introduced in the US House of Representatives includes many tax provisions that would significantly impact US taxpayers. However, any major bill’s road from introduction to enactment is typically long, winding, and unpredictable. This note summarizes four tax planning–related questions we view as prime candidates for consideration by US families with substantial wealth, notwithstanding that uncertainty.
Crypto Considerations
The polarizing and often misunderstood cryptoasset landscape has grown exponentially in recent years. This paper reviews some of the space’s pressing issues, considers cryptoassets in a portfolio setting, and offers some considerations of different implementation options.
Contagion Risk From China Evergrande Likely Low
Fears that a default by China Evergrande Group could trigger a financial crisis has led to some weakness in global equities in recent days, with the MSCI All Country World Index falling 3.5% from its peak. While Evergrande is likely to default and require a major restructuring, we view fears of a broader financial crisis as overblown.
Are Secondaries Experiencing a Growth Spurt?
Yes. Secondaries, the “yang” to the “yin” of primaries and an investment strategy nearly as old, are growing, particularly GP-led secondaries, which have grown 43% annually over the last nine years.
Catch My Drift? Active Managers’ Style Tends to Change Over Time
The style bias of actively managed growth and value equity portfolios is not typically static. In this paper, we highlight how the strength of active managers’ style signatures have moved between value and growth and propose a simple fundamental rationale for why this happens.
Does the ECB Strategy Review Represent an Overhaul of Euro Area Monetary Policy?
No. The results of the strategy review were more about clarifying and making explicit how European Central Bank (ECB) policy is currently run, rather than signalling a radical departure for monetary policy in the single currency bloc.