Research Publications Archive

Germany-Caught in Deflation’s Undertow

Fueled by the lethal cocktail of domestic constraints, regional impediments, and the global economic slowdown, Germany may be in for a prolonged period of economic malaise and deflationary pressures.

Deflation in Japan–Could it Happen in the U.S.?

According to a recently issued Federal Reserve paper, Japan could have averted deflation if it had aggressively applied monetary and fiscal stimulus during the first half of the 1990s. This Comment provides highlights of the paper, the commentary it elicited among financial pundits, as well as our thoughts about its policy recommendations if they were…

Commodities

A thorough presentation of the policy and strategic arguments for a commodities allocation, the impact of inflation on commodities’ performance, the special concerns for non-US$-denominated investors, and key implementation issues. Exhibits include data on performance under varying market and economic conditions, index correlations, and diversification benefits. Also included are representative manager factsheets and analyses of…