Research Publications Archive

Will the Outperformance of Eurozone Equities Persist?

No, while the recent outperformance and positivity surrounding Eurozone equities was justified by shifts in the macroeconomic landscape, we do not have confidence that outperformance will continue, given the challenges still facing the region. Therefore, we suggest investors keep Eurozone equity allocations in line with policy weights.

A Social & Environmental Equity Investing Framework for Better Real-World Outcomes

Investing can often feel like steering a ship through stormy seas, traversing risks seen and unseen. Adopting a more disciplined approach to investing for social and environmental equity can help investors minimize portfolio risk and maximize impact, even during flagging markets. In this paper, we review the momentum experienced in sustainable and impact investing and the historical relationship between global recessions and inequality. We then explain the rationale for staying the course during turbulent times, and introduce a framework designed to help investors produce better financial and impact outcomes in any market cycle.

Multiemployer Plans Receiving SFA Program Assets Face Critical Allocation Choices

While many options exist as a result of the Special Financial Assistance (SFA) program for underfunded multiemployer pension plans, a plan-specific, holistic approach that combines multiple investment strategies is most likely to generate optimal outcomes. This paper provides a guide to plan sponsors as they seek to make the most effective use of their SFA program capital.

Inverted World: The Attractiveness of Short-Term Tiers for Healthcare Systems

A healthcare system’s investment structure is intentionally aligned to match varying enterprise needs over the short, intermediate, and long term. Most have gravitated toward the use of tiers—pools of capital delineated as available immediately (operating cash), within the next few years (short-duration bonds), or strategically over time (long-term investment pools). However, the need for capital flexibility and liquidity has grown as the demands of providing care have become more complex. Fortunately, higher interest rates have made the return profile of highly liquid, short-duration tiers more attractive. As a result, we expect many hospitals will benefit from allocating any new funds that come available to short-term tiers, given the yields available in short rates and superior liquidity.

Annual Review of Endowments: Fiscal Year 2022

In fiscal year 2022, endowments faced a challenging market environment one year after they had seen the best investment returns in decades. Our annual report based on a survey administered to our endowment clients summarizes returns, asset allocation, and other investment-related data for 316 institutions for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2022. We also review peer data on topics such as investment policy, portfolio manager structures, spending, and investment office staffing and governance.

Climate Tech’s Evolution: The Maturation to a Competitive, Returns-Focused Thematic Investment Sector

Climate tech has gained popularity among investors in recent years, but those familiar with the space recognize it as an evolution from clean tech solutions developed in the 2000s. In this paper, we explore the development of this growing investment theme, look at its evolution into a financially compelling investment opportunity, and discuss how investors can best take advantage of this opportunity.

ASEAN Equities: Surprising to the Upside

Southeast Asia, also known as ASEAN (The Association of Southeast Asian Nations), was a relative safe haven for investors in 2022. In this paper, we analyse the factors that have supported ASEAN equities, including the country/sector composition of the ASEAN market, the earnings outlook for the region, and the currency basket. We also show that the ASEAN market looks different today versus 2013, when the region experienced headwinds due to elevated valuations coupled with a collapse in commodity prices and the Federal Reserve’s tapering cycle.

Review of Market Performance: Calendar Year 2022

Calendar year 2022 witnessed multi-decade record inflation and central banks responded with rapidly tightening monetary policy. Rising rates saw the correlation between bonds and equities turn positive, contributing to large declines across most asset classes. Funds flows diverted away from growth and momentum strategies, and yield curves flattened with the ten-year/two-year yield curve becoming inverted in most developed markets, signaling economic uncertainty ahead.