US PE/VC Benchmark Commentary: First Half 2022
In first half 2022, US private equity and venture capital broke their trend of sustained positive performance as the downturn in the public markets spilled over to privates.
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US Manager Universe Statistics: Third Quarter 2022
This publication presents manager performance for 37 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
VantagePoint: Three Big Questions
In this edition of VantagePoint, we review three big questions that are central to the path of the markets: 1) Will the US Fed pivot away from aggressive tightening?; 2) Will China move away from its zero-COVID policy?; and 3) Will Europe successfully manage its transition away from Russian energy imports?
Can the Strong US Dollar Environment Persist?
Yes. The hawkish Federal Reserve and energy market challenges have contributed to a strengthening of the US dollar in recent quarters, and we expect that trends in both factors may continue to be supportive of the dollar in the short term. Nonetheless, on a longer horizon, historical precedents suggest that the dollar is approaching the end of a multiyear bull run.
Fed Hikes Another 0.75% and Signals More Tightening to Come
The Federal Reserve announced its third consecutive interest rate increase of 75 basis points (bps) today, bringing the Fed funds target range to 3.00%–3.25%.
Endowments Quarterly: Second Quarter 2022
Most endowments and foundations are on pace for their lowest fiscal year (June 30) returns since 2009. The various methods for reporting private investments play a significant role in the range of returns we have seen across our preliminary universe thus far. Our quarterly report investigates this topic and summarizes preliminary June 30 asset allocation and total investment performance for 378 of Cambridge Associates’ US endowment and foundation clients.
Is the United States in a Recession? Labor Market Focus
Currently, there is an active debate about whether the United States is in a recession. Two quarters of negative GDP fits one definition of a recession; however, the National Bureau of Economic Research looks at a greater expanse of data before making its assessment. In this note, we examine some of this data, dig into other line items in the national accounts, and look at historical trends in employment around recessions to further our understanding and put today’s labor market into context.
US Manager Universe Statistics: Second Quarter 2022
This publication presents manager performance for 37 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
US PE/VC Benchmark Commentary: Calendar Year 2021
In 2021, the US private equity and venture capital indexes posted their highest calendar year returns since 1999, potentially signaling a market peak and the end of over a decade of steady growth. For the year, the Cambridge Associates LLC US Private Equity Index® returned 41.3% and the Cambridge Associates LLC US Venture Capital Index® gained 54.6%.
VantagePoint: Have US Equities Hit Bottom?
Given the uncertain economic and profit environment, have markets bottomed yet? In this edition of VantagePoint, we address this question by comparing current market conditions to those of historical bear markets, evaluating economic conditions to better understand near-term recession prospects, and considering how much further the market may have to go based on historical precedents.