U.S. Bonds: Navigating the Shifting Structure of the FI Marketplace
Product innovation brings new opportunities, but also can significantly alter key performance drivers.
Product innovation brings new opportunities, but also can significantly alter key performance drivers.
While the recent resilience of the U.S. economy and financial markets has been impressive, valuations remain stretched.
REITs offer strategic benefits but limit your exposure in the current environment.
Investors would be well served to tilt their portfolios toward high-quality assets.
The risks to U.S. corporate profits are underappreciated.
New style indices have significantly improved the choices available to style-conscious investors and managers.
Yield curve movements since June 2004 have shown how difficult it is to forecast—let alone explain—the twists and turns of interest rates.
While a continued rally is not our base scenario, a plausible argument can be made that U.S. equities are attractively priced and thus poised to move higher.
With real yields of just 1.6%, ten-year U.S. TIPS are currently an expensive inflation hedge.
With valuations more concentrated, style and market cap should be weaker drivers of return.