US PE/VC Benchmark Commentary: First Half 2023
In the first half of 2023, despite macro headwinds, US private equity remained resilient, while venture capital continued to “correct.”
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US Manager Universe Statistics: Third Quarter 2023
This publication presents manager performance for 37 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
US Manager Universe Statistics: Second Quarter 2023
This publication presents manager performance for 37 asset classes and substrategies, showing the median, mean, and key percentiles of return. Relevant indexes for each asset class are also included to provide market context.
Currency Views and Valuations
This chart book examines historical currency momentum, valuation, and fundamentals in nine key currencies—US dollar (USD), British pound (GBP), euro (EUR), Swiss franc (CHF), Japanese yen (JPY), Australian dollar (AUD), New Zealand dollar (NZD), Canadian dollar (CAD), and Singapore dollar (SGD)—to help investors understand how these currencies behave against other major currencies.
Key Central Bank Policy Rates Approach Cyclical Peak
Over the past two weeks, central banks in the United States, United Kingdom, euro area, and Japan have all held monetary policy meetings. The communications following these meetings retained a hawkish bias, suggesting further policy tightening may be necessary—except for the Bank of Japan—however, additional interest rate hikes will likely be much less frequent for the remainder of this cycle. Despite this reality, we do not think major central banks will be quick to cut interest rates next year.
Review of Market Performance: Fiscal Year 2023
Risk assets enjoyed mostly positive returns in fiscal year 2023. Equities rebounded as fears over the severity of a possible recession moderated. Emerging markets equities lagged developed markets as the pace of reopening in China disappointed. Bond performance improved as credit assets posted positive returns but developed markets sovereign bonds struggled. Real assets suffered due to higher interest rates and slowing demand.
Does Fitch’s Recent Ratings Downgrade of US Sovereign Debt Change Our View on Treasuries?
No, we continue to believe investors should hold US Treasuries in line with policy allocations. While the recent decision by Fitch Ratings to downgrade the sovereign credit rating of the United States added upward pressure on Treasury yields, we do not expect it will have a lasting impact.
US Limits Semiconductor, Quantum Computing, and AI Investments in China
Yesterday, US President Biden issued an Executive Order (EO) limiting US investments in China in three technology sectors—semiconductors and microelectronics, certain artificial intelligence systems, and quantum information technologies—in 2024 and beyond.
US PE/VC Benchmark Commentary: Calendar Year 2022
A year after posting their second highest annual returns ever, performance for the US private equity and venture capital indexes fell back to earth in 2022.
Is Now a Good Time to Invest in the Energy Transition?
Yes, the transition to a low-carbon economy is producing a myriad of productive ways to put capital to work.