Fiscal Year 2012 in Review
The risk-on/risk-off environment continued in 2012. Equities fell across the board, with U.S. markets holding up best, while “safe havens” such as sovereign bonds and gold posted solid gains.
The risk-on/risk-off environment continued in 2012. Equities fell across the board, with U.S. markets holding up best, while “safe havens” such as sovereign bonds and gold posted solid gains.
After a difficult few years—capped off by the annus horribilis of 2011—are long/short hedge funds a buy … or sell?
The U.S. economy is still on life support, but investors should not assume that equities and credit are dead money.
While the theory behind low-volatility equity strategies is sound, funds seeking to provide equity-like returns with lowered volatility are neither new nor unique. Further, investors should tread cautiously given the mushrooming number of entrants in the field and the diversity of approaches.
Summary highlights for various asset classes for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2011.
Despite a meaningful reduction in the overhang for large private equity funds, it remains too large to be absorbed by anything other than a replay of the easy credit–powered 2005–08 exit environment; mid-market funds are still a more attractive option.
Our U.S. equity recommendations over the past couple of years have shown mixed results, with large-cap and high-quality stocks lagging behind in the market rally, but growth maintaining a consistent edge over value. After a fresh assessment of current conditions, we conclude that these portfolio tilts still make sense today.
U.S. equity investors, corporations, and consumers continue to exercise restraint amid signs of economic stability.
For all the hand-wringing over the private equity overhang, most problems seem confined to the large buyout space; things look a sight better for mid-market funds, some of which may be poised to capitalize on opportunities created by the credit crisis.
Deteriorating municipal finances have implications for investors though default risk is remote. However, there are technical drivers that may support the tax-exempt market for some time.