The prospect of higher interest rates has contributed to recent equity market volatility and provided a wake-up call for investors underweight some traditional value sectors. What may surprise some investors is that even managers that style themselves as value-oriented may be underweight bellwether value sectors. Now is a good time to sharpen your pencil on value manager exposures.
Investors should be patient and thoughtful in implementing any changes to portfolios.
The Pension Risk Transfer (PRT) market has grown markedly over the past decade as recent regulatory changes, coupled with greater pricing competition from insurers, have increased the popularity of PRTs. However, for many plan sponsors, PRTs are not the best solution. Plan sponsors should fully understand the potential impact of a risk transfer transaction on their plan, specifically as it relates to three dimensions explored in this paper: funded status, risk reduction, and future costs. Without this understanding, the hidden cost of these transactions may go unnoticed.
Government bonds have sold off to start the year as central banks tighten policy in response to inflation pressures. The rise in yields this year may meet some resistance in the near-term, but likely has more room to run given the economic backdrop and policy trajectory. Of course, the war in Ukraine and its impact on the economy will be a key driver of rates for the duration of the conflict.
Thoughtfully, if at all. At this stage most investors should examine portfolio risks related to the war and monitor market developments.
While bitcoin and gold share some qualities, these two assets are different and should not be viewed as interchangeable in investment portfolios.
US consumer prices increased 7.0% year-over-year in December, which is the fastest annual rate since 1982, according to government data released today. We expect US inflation will moderate in the coming months, in line with consensus forecasts, but we anticipate it will settle in a higher range than the previous cycle.
This week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and to a lesser extent the European Central Bank all acted to tighten monetary policies. These tightenings came as inflationary pressures have surged in many countries and as other central banks have looked to rein in simulative policies. But, when combined with above-trend growth expectations next year and central banks’ likely cautious tightening approach, we suspect financial conditions will likely remain accommodative and supportive of risk assets.
No. While there is no danger of the fiscal floodgates opening in Europe, the ‘traffic-light’ coalition of the Social Democratic Party (SPD), the Greens, and the Free Democratic Party (FDP) looks set to oversee some loosening of the fiscal purse strings in Germany.
Many defined benefit plans sponsors may be denying themselves valuable opportunities to generate additional returns by overestimating their liquidity needs. Targeting a liquidity supply/demand ratio of 2x–3x can help portfolios tolerate periods of market stress.