Hedge Funds

2025 Outlook: Public Equities

We expect developed markets value and small-cap equities to outperform, given our economic views and their steep valuation discounts. Regionally, we believe US equity performance will not match the level set in 2024, allowing European, Japanese, and emerging markets equities to perform more in line with broader developed markets. Within emerging markets, strong Indian equity gains should moderate, while we doubt Chinese equities will collapse. At the same time, we expect long/short equity strategies will perform better than typical.

VantagePoint: As the Narratives Turn

In this edition of VantagePoint, we find that consumers, corporations, and the banking sector remain in good shape, and while US/global economic growth is likely to slow in the second half of 2024 relative to the first, we expect it will remain positive. Although market concentration risk is elevated, given its focus on highly profitable AI-related tech stocks, we would seek to be measured about diversifying such risks.

A Liability Investors’ Guide to Reassessing Hedge Funds

Hedge funds offer a strategic opportunity for investors willing to navigate their complexities, with significant diversification and growth prospects that stand out from traditional asset classes. This paper discusses the primary risks associated with hedge funds and presents four actionable guidelines for effectively incorporating these strategies into portfolios.