Is a Crisis Likely in the UK Commercial Property Sector?
No, but we do expect UK commercial property prices to re-rate to a lower level as investors grapple with the consequences of the Brexit vote.
Europe
Has the GBP Bottomed? Not Likely
History implies there is more downside for the pound; we expect the currency to remain volatile and range bound as the long road to Brexit is just starting.
Should Investors Reposition Portfolios in Light of the UK Referendum to Leave the European Union?
No, assuming investors have heeded our advice to keep diversifying assets defensive.
Comparative Asset Allocation and Total Return: UK Foundations and Endowments
Our biannual report summarizes asset allocation and total investment performance for 29 of Cambridge Associates’ UK foundation and endowment clients.
Pondering the Consequences of “Brexit”
As the cacophony surrounding the 23 June “Brexit” referendum grows, just how much the United Kingdom stands to lose or gain from leaving remains unclear, and investors with substantial exposures to British assets would do well to pay attention to sentiment.
Investment Publications Highlights: March 2016
March’s publication summarizes three articles discussing the implications of the UK’s June 23 referendum vote on EU membership. The first argues that the UK economy stands to lose from an exit vote even under optimistic assumptions, the second highlights how the uncertainty connected to the vote is already taking a toll on the UK economy, and the third suggests investors should trim exposure to peripheral EU countries.
Are Eurozone Equities Still Poised to Outperform in 2016?
Yes, but the amount of outperformance could be limited, and growing macro-driven volatility will likely cap the absolute level of returns.
Comparative Asset Allocation and Total Return: UK Foundations and Endowments
Our biannual report summarizes asset allocation and total investment performance for 31 of Cambridge Associates’ UK foundation and endowment clients.
UK Equities: Curbed Enthusiasm
UK large-cap stocks are undervalued, but lack a clear near-term catalyst to unlock this value; mid-cap valuations are moving higher, but so too are earnings.
What Should Investors Make of Recent Headlines from China and Greece?
The situations in China and Greece, not to mention Puerto Rico’s debt woes, serve as a poignant reminder not to be complacent. Investors should take care that portfolios are well constructed, diversified, and consistent with their ability to absorb downside risks while meeting long-term return objectives. With risks rising in some areas, and few bargains…