Assessing the Likelihood of Another EM Currency Crisis
We do not anticipate a systemic emerging markets currency crisis like that of the late 1990s, though EM currency weakness and volatility are likely to persist for the next few years.
Emerging/Frontier
US Manager Universe Statistics: Second Quarter 2015
This chart book presents representative marketable and hedge fund manager performance for second quarter 2015.
What Should Investors Make of Recent Headlines from China and Greece?
The situations in China and Greece, not to mention Puerto Rico’s debt woes, serve as a poignant reminder not to be complacent. Investors should take care that portfolios are well constructed, diversified, and consistent with their ability to absorb downside risks while meeting long-term return objectives. With risks rising in some areas, and few bargains…
Will Further Market Volatility Ensue If Greece Does Not Return to the Bargaining Table?
The situation with Greece has become increasingly unpredictable and could trigger further market volatility in the weeks ahead. However, even under an adverse scenario such as a Greek exit from the Eurozone, other European assets are likely to eventually resume their decoupling from Greek assets, given firewalls in place and a more favorable economic backdrop….
The Investment Compass Points Due East: Asia’s Appeal to Emerging Markets Equity Investors
Valuations, fundamentals, and a more appealing macro picture make tilting emerging markets equity exposure toward Asia a sensible proposition.
US Manager Universe Statistics: First Quarter 2015
This chart book presents representative marketable and hedge fund manager performance for first quarter 2015. The median Global ex US Small-Cap Equity manager posted the highest return (5.9%) for the quarter; the median manager in this asset class returned -1.6% for the one-year period ending March 31, 2015. The median US REIT manager posted the highest…
What’s Behind the Recent Rally in Chinese Equities?
Chinese equities have captured headlines recently, with trading volumes surging in Hong Kong and the MSCI China Index (which tracks the performance of Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong) rising 14% over four trading days (April 8–13). The catalyst was a decision in late March by mainland Chinese regulators to allow domestic mutual funds to…
India: Can the Bull Market Continue?
Over the past two years, India has come full circle, moving from a member of the so-called Fragile Five economies with poor macro fundamentals to one of the few emerging markets with a positive macro story. India was among the best-performing equity markets in 2014, returning 24% in US$ terms, compared to -1.8% for emerging…
Could Negotiations Between Greece and Its Eurozone Creditors Break Down and Cause More Volatility for Related Assets?
Talks between Greece and its Eurozone creditors to extend its bailout may again break down and thus trigger more volatility for local assets, but the potential for contagion to other asset markets is contained for several reasons. All involved parties have strong incentives to eventually reach an agreement. Even if they can’t, the fact that…
US Manager Universe Statistics: Fourth Quarter and Calendar Year 2014
This chart book presents representative marketable and hedge fund manager performance for fourth quarter and calendar year 2014. US Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) managers posted the largest median returns for the fourth quarter (14.2%) and the one-year period ending December 31, 2014 (31.2%).