Japanese Equities: It’s Not Too Late to Capitalize on the Recovery
Heading into 2016, we remain constructive on Japanese equities versus US equivalents and are broadening our recommendation to include Japanese small- and mid-cap stocks.
Asia/Pacific
Investment Publications Highlights: November 2015
November’s publication summarizes three articles on China. The first suggests that the country’s GDP growth rate is unlikely to decline severely, the second argues that the government’s policies to stabilize the economy probably will promote a more sustainable growth path, and the third highlights how China’s slowing growth may limit global growth.
What Should Investors Make of Recent Headlines from China and Greece?
The situations in China and Greece, not to mention Puerto Rico’s debt woes, serve as a poignant reminder not to be complacent. Investors should take care that portfolios are well constructed, diversified, and consistent with their ability to absorb downside risks while meeting long-term return objectives. With risks rising in some areas, and few bargains…
The Investment Compass Points Due East: Asia’s Appeal to Emerging Markets Equity Investors
Valuations, fundamentals, and a more appealing macro picture make tilting emerging markets equity exposure toward Asia a sensible proposition.
Alternative Credit Opportunities in Asia
Asia has a structural and cyclical need for alternative credit providers; given where Asia is in the credit cycle, special situations and direct lending strategies should offer attractive risk-adjusted returns Returns for traditional Asian fixed income and credit are unattractive today. However, opportunities remain in the less liquid, underserved, and complex spheres of corporate lending…
What’s Behind the Recent Rally in Chinese Equities?
Chinese equities have captured headlines recently, with trading volumes surging in Hong Kong and the MSCI China Index (which tracks the performance of Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong) rising 14% over four trading days (April 8–13). The catalyst was a decision in late March by mainland Chinese regulators to allow domestic mutual funds to…
India: Can the Bull Market Continue?
Over the past two years, India has come full circle, moving from a member of the so-called Fragile Five economies with poor macro fundamentals to one of the few emerging markets with a positive macro story. India was among the best-performing equity markets in 2014, returning 24% in US$ terms, compared to -1.8% for emerging…
Australia Outlook 2015: Still Cautious
A subdued growth outlook and increased volatility for many asset classes mean investors should be cautious in 2015 We continue to have concerns about the Australian macro environment and expect muted growth and inflation in Australia. China’s rebalancing economy is a top concern for Australia, combined with uncertainties in the domestic economy. Fair valuations and…
New Zealand Outlook 2015: Can the Divergence Last?
New Zealand’s economy is well positioned compared to other major economies, and especially relative to Australia, but external factors will likely impact the local economy and markets New Zealand equities are within our fair value range, though they are getting more expensive. Investors should maintain neutral allocations and, in their foreign equity exposure, overweight European…
Japan: Micro More Compelling Than Macro
Better earnings growth and attractive relative valuations support a slight overweight to Japanese equities versus US equivalents The multi-faceted nature of the Japanese earnings recovery has made Japanese equities more attractive. Further, structural reforms in Japan have been more successful than many thought would be the case early last year, and prospects for further success…