The war in Iran has triggered a historic disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, driving oil & gas prices higher and exposing vulnerable energy-importing regions. This shock is fueling concerns over higher inflation and rising bond yields, creating a volatile environment where commodities lead while global equities and traditional bond diversifiers underperform.
Within public equities, investors should modestly overweight global ex US equities, developed markets small-cap stocks, and Latin American equities in 2026, as these regions offer attractive valuations, improving growth prospects, and diversification benefits.
In 2026, a disciplined, diversified approach across hedge funds, real assets, and California Carbon Allowances can help investors navigate market uncertainty and capture emerging growth.
Blockchain and crypto-focused venture capital (BCVC) funds offer a compelling opportunity alongside traditional venture capital (VC) strategies. In this piece, we explore the market dynamics shaping cryptoassets, share our rationale for including BCVC in VC portfolios, and outline key considerations for integration into institutional portfolios.
Yes. In our view, developed markets ex US small-cap stocks are well positioned to continue outpacing their larger-cap counterparts due to three key factors: reduced sensitivity to global tariff changes, attractive relative valuations, and improving international economic fundamentals.
No, we don’t think so. For most investors, this is more likely a time to take profits on gold rather than initiate new allocations.
Yesterday (April 2), US President Donald Trump announced sweeping new tariffs targeting nearly all US trading partners.
Equity long/short strategies—a prominent hedge fund strategy—have faced challenges since the Global Financial Crisis, but we believe the future looks brighter for these strategies due to several factors that should enhance returns.
We expect global equities to outperform bonds, as near trend economic growth should support continued corporate earnings growth and healthy risk appetite. Stock/bond correlations should be lower than the 2023–24 peak levels, even as protectionist US policy may drive global economic uncertainty higher.
We expect developed markets value and small-cap equities to outperform, given our economic views and their steep valuation discounts. Regionally, we believe US equity performance will not match the level set in 2024, allowing European, Japanese, and emerging markets equities to perform more in line with broader developed markets. Within emerging markets, strong Indian equity gains should moderate, while we doubt Chinese equities will collapse. At the same time, we expect long/short equity strategies will perform better than typical.