Global Government Bonds: Blowing Bubbles
Global real bond yields are not far from their historical averages, confirming our aversion to allocating assets based on interest rate predictions.
Global real bond yields are not far from their historical averages, confirming our aversion to allocating assets based on interest rate predictions.
While non-U.S. small-cap equities appear undervalued, performance may vary significantly between the two primary indices.
Not since the oil shock of the early 1980s has a single sector accounted for such a large percentage of market earnings—what does this mean for investors?
Although property has outperformed equities and bonds over the last 16 years, 10%+ annual returns are unlikely in the foreseeable future.
The combination of pervasive gloom, low expectations, attractive valuations, and a refusal to acknowledge the positive changes, which are occurring (albeit slowly) in Japan has begun to whet our appetite for Japanese equities.
Small-cap stocks have been remarkably resilient over the last four and a half years, but the sector appears to be weakening.
Despite the steady stream of financial scandals and revelations of conflicts of interest on Wall Street, the game of beating analyst projections continues.
Benchmark construction idiosyncrasies, as well as the limited acceptance of diversification through style investing, has contributed to value’s persistent outperformance of growth in Europe.
Given the explosiveness of past bear market rallies, investors should rebalance instead of sitting in cash or assuming a prospective rally represents the start of a prolonged recovery.
Despite the convergence of gilt yields with the equity market yield and the implications this has for pension funds seeking to match assets and liabilities, investors should resist the temptation to shift wholesale into bonds.