Can US Equity Dominance Be Sustained?
No, we anticipate performance will broaden out beyond mega-cap tech stocks, which have driven US equity performance in recent years.
Authored by: Celia Dallas
VantagePoint: Can US Equity Dominance Be Sustained?
In this edition of VantagePoint, we review the drivers of US outperformance in the context of historical expansions, consider what markets are pricing in, and if stronger fundamentals for US equities justify higher valuations.
2024 Outlook: Public Equities
We expect global equity performance will be below its long-term median level, but we believe investors should hold equity allocations in line with policy targets. Within equities, we see opportunities in developed value, developed small caps, and China. We doubt European and emerging markets ex China equities will outperform, and we believe the share of active strategies that outperform will increase.
2024 Outlook: Sustainability & Impact
We expect more companies will set science-based targets to reduce their emissions and develop credible transition plans to meet their targets. We believe funds raised by natural capital strategies will hit a new record and that California carbon allowances will outperform global equities.
VantagePoint: Asia Opportunities Amid Shifting Geopolitics – Part II
The shifting geopolitical realities between the United States and China have already impacted trade and investment flows. In this two-part series of VantagePoint, we review this reality and consider investment implications alongside those of other key factors—such as domestic structural developments, macroeconomic conditions, and valuations. In Part I, we focused on opportunities in China specifically. In this companion piece, we discuss investment opportunities beyond China.
VantagePoint: Asia Opportunities Amid Shifting Geopolitics – Part I
The shifting geopolitical realities between the United States and China have already impacted trade and investment flows. In this two-part series of VantagePoint, we review this reality and consider investment implications alongside those of other key factors—such as domestic structural developments, macroeconomic conditions, and valuations. In Part I, we focus on opportunities in China specifically, and in Part II, we discuss other Asian investment opportunities beyond China.
Israel-Hamas War Highlights the Importance of Diversification
The devastating loss of life resulting from Hamas’s surprise attack on Israel is at the forefront of our concerns. Risk of a prolonged conflict in the region has grown, creating a new layer of uncertainty on many fronts, including the global economy and markets.
US Limits Semiconductor, Quantum Computing, and AI Investments in China
Yesterday, US President Biden issued an Executive Order (EO) limiting US investments in China in three technology sectors—semiconductors and microelectronics, certain artificial intelligence systems, and quantum information technologies—in 2024 and beyond.
Is Now a Good Time to Invest in the Energy Transition?
Yes, the transition to a low-carbon economy is producing a myriad of productive ways to put capital to work.
VantagePoint: Investing in a Low-Carbon Future
The energy transition involves a complex and dynamic set of changes in the way we do just about everything. While significant progress has been made in some quarters, considerable capital will be needed to fund the massive investment required over coming decades. We expect investors with a deliberate and thoughtful plan to invest in the transition across the risk/reward spectrum will be rewarded.