The recovery rate on senior loans looks poised to fall in the next cyclical downturn, as weaker structures and terms impact the market. In this research note, we highlight our concerns and consider how the cocktail of unitranche loans, inflated cash flow assumptions, and weak terms could threaten recoveries in the next cyclical downturn.
While the focus on making contributions prior to the mid-September tax deadline is important for corporate defined benefit plan sponsors, it should be the first step in establishing a dynamic contribution roadmap. Especially given potentially mounting contribution requirements ahead, plan sponsors should take this opportunity to view their contribution policy as one available lever—along with asset returns, liability hedges, and benefit management—in navigating the pension plan to a strong financial position.
Solid fundamentals in most countries should limit the damage.
Climbing the wall of worries is getting tougher. There is room for markets to progress, but caution is required at this stage in the cycle. Markets must overcome four main forces: monetary policy tightening, US dollar strength, a China growth slowdown, and trade friction.
This report, based on a survey that Cambridge Associates administers annually to our foundation clients, summarizes returns, asset allocation, and other investment-related data for 111 foundations for the year ended December 31, 2017. Included in this year’s report are commentary and exhibits across five sections: Investment Portfolio Returns, Asset Allocation, Investment Manager Structures, Payout from the Long-Term Investment Portfolio, and Investment Office Staffing and Governance.
Equity markets and commodity-related assets outperformed other asset classes, while monetary policy expectations continued to negatively impact bond markets during the fiscal year ending June 30, 2018. This brief chart book looks at returns and other market metrics for fiscal year 2018.
We don’t believe so—even though fiscal stimulus, corporate tax cuts, international trade tensions, and US dollar strength all seem to be advantageous for US small caps relative to US large caps.
There is perhaps no better time for social equity investing. Many institutional investors have long sought to promote social equity through grant making and other philanthropic endeavors. With the field of impact investing maturing, these institutions are now increasingly seeking investment solutions to accomplish the same goal. In this paper we review the current state of social equity in the United States, highlight eight core social equity issue areas, and discuss the lessons we’ve learned in constructing portfolios with these investments. While investors need to be mindful of risks, we believe that investments can be made to promote a social equity impact agenda across the portfolio.
In short, no—their use isn’t going away any time soon. Rather than avoid them, incorporate new elements to more clearly assess the manager’s true investment skill.
No, MSCI index inclusion will not trigger a bull market in Chinese A-shares. Given the very modest initial weights and the lack of clarity on future increases, we doubt that index-driven flows will drive share prices meaningfully higher.