Research Publications Archive

Does Recent Banking Sector Stress Highlight the Need for Robust Operational Due Diligence?

Yes. A rigorous operational due diligence (ODD) review is a core piece of the investment manager underwriting process that allows limited partners to make informed investment decisions. Recent banking sector events, including yesterday’s collapse of First Republic Bank, highlight the need for a constantly evolving ODD framework capable of identifying and addressing both ongoing and new risks that managers may encounter.

Buying India’s Growth Story, But Not Today

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India has arguably the most compelling long-term growth opportunity in the global economy today. But should investors buy the hype surrounding Indian equities? We think India’s bright economic prospects have the potential to drive strong equity market returns in the long run; however, we do not think Indian equities offer a compelling overweight over a shorter-term, tactical horizon. Investors interested in India’s growth story from a strategic perspective should build allocations through high-quality public and private managers, preferably toward active managers on the public equity side.

Investors Should Direct Their Attention to Private Lending

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The current market turmoil has created an attractive environment for direct lenders. The dislocation in the public markets has driven borrowers to private lenders that can demand better pricing and lender-friendly terms. As a floating-rate asset, lenders are benefiting from the sharp increase in rates and all-in yields are in the low double digits.

Decades of Data: United Kingdom 1900–2022

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The 2022 UK edition of our annual report on the history of financial markets provides context for the range of returns investors can expect from equities, bonds, and cash; reveals the importance of various components of equity returns; examines the evidence for equity mean reversion; and reviews the relationship between initial valuations and subsequent returns for equities and bonds.

Should Investors Lean Into Quality Equities?

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Yes. Aggressive central bank tightening has caused economic growth to slow in Europe and the United States, and we expect that the recent banking sector stress will further weaken economic growth. Now is the time for investors to tactically overweight quality equities, given this style has tended to outperform broad equities during periods of economic contraction.

European Bank Stress Adds to Economic Growth Challenges

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On 20 March, investors awoke to news Swiss authorities had used emergency measures to push through a hastily arranged merger of Credit Suisse and UBS. Following two recent bank failures in the United States, the announcement raised questions over the health of European banks and the broader economy.