Investment Planning

Asset Allocation in the Bear Market

This paper speculates that while some of the excess from the equity bubble years has been worked off, the secular bottom will probably not arrive until valuations improve and despair reaches levels proportional to the preceding bull market euphoria.

Benchmarking

This report suggests preconditions to the selection of appropriate benchmarks and the flaws inherent even in careful selection. Discrete sections for public market investments, marketable alternatives, private equity, and real estate are included.

Price Competition in Higher Education

The reasons most commonly cited for the seemingly inexorable slide toward the financial abyss are the relentless competition for high position in college rankings such as those invented by U.S. News & World Report; competition from taxpayer-subsidized public universities; and the inclination of even relatively affluent parents to bargain for more financial aid. Most at…

The Growing Importance of Endowment

Our data suggest that colleges with proportionally more endowment enjoy stronger pricing power and greater capacity to bridge the widening gap between operating revenues and expenditures. At the same time, the abrupt end to the sustained 1990s bull market increases the prospect that volatility in investment returns may put endowment support of operations at greater…

Some Questions

This short paper addresses a range of investment planning topics including deflation hedging, valuation models, and consolidation in the investment management industry.

Behavioral Finance

An evaluation of common mistakes made by investment committees including overrating the importance of recent information, oversimplification of complex issues, extrapolation of past results into the future, and diffusion of responsibility.